Microfinance institutions (MFIs), financial organisations that give small loans and other banking services to low-income people, are exposed to climate risk given their focus on low-income and vulnerable populations, says a policy brief by Climate and Sustainability Initiative (CSI), a research institute based in New Delhi.
The policy brief, titled Micro Loans, Macro Shocks: How is Climate Risk Reshaping India’s Microfinance Industry, highlights that 60% of the overall microfinance portfolio of ₹3.81 trillion is concentrated in agriculture and allied activities, making it highly exposed to climate-sensitive livelihoods.
It notes that recurring droughts, floods, heat stress, and erratic monsoons are reducing borrower incomes and disrupting local demand. Consequently, financial strains among vulnerable borrowers of MFIs are rising.
As per the report, agriculture and allied activities include agriculture, agro-based enterprise, animal husbandry, and fisheries; they have 60% exposure. Non-agro activities include trading and transport, handicraft, microbusiness, and 32% exposure. Housing and other non-income-generating activities, such as water and clean energy, have 3.6% and 4.4% exposure, respectively.
A 2025 report by Agri3 Fund, HSBC India, and MicroSave Consulting claims that India’s 120 million smallholder farmers face increasing financial instability due to climate change, which has cut farm incomes by 15-18%.
Building on this, the CSI policy brief connects these agriculture-related risks with microfinance lending exposure.
It also analyses regional vulnerability and states that the microfinance industry has its highest portfolio exposure in eastern India (33%), as that region ranks among the most climate-vulnerable. The region includes Bihar, Odisha, Jharkhand, West Bengal, and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
“This intersection of high credit concentration and high climate vulnerability suggests a significant regional risk exposure for the microfinance industry,” it says.
The southern region, which accounts for 28% of the portfolio, shows moderate climate vulnerability. Central India, with an 18% share in the portfolio, faces moderate to high vulnerability, while the western region, accounting for 11%, faces low to moderate climate risks. The northern region, with a 7% portfolio exposure, also falls into the low to moderate vulnerability category, except for Jammu and Kashmir, which faces high vulnerability. In contrast, the northeastern region, with the lowest portfolio exposure at 3%, is highly vulnerable, particularly to floods, landslides, and extreme rainfall.
“The overall regional exposure to climate hazards across India underscores the urgent need for a climate-sensitive approach within the sector,” the policy brief says.
Banner image: A rural cooperative gathering. Representative image by Marcel Crozet/ILO via Flickr (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0).