Amid concerns over El Niño and a weak monsoon, the central government has identified 315 districts as vulnerable, which includes 111 highly vulnerable districts.
Global meteorological agencies, including the India Meteorological Department (IMD), have confirmed a high likelihood of El Niño conditions. IMD has also forecast that southwest monsoon rainfall is likely to be 90% of the long-period average, placing it in the below normal category, and its impact is already visible.
On Tuesday, the Union Minister for Agriculture and Farmers Welfare and Rural Development, Shivraj Singh Chouhan, while speaking to the media, said, “The southwest monsoon is significantly delayed this year and rainfall so far has been around 43% below normal.”
Chouhan said that around 315 districts have been identified as potentially affected by weak monsoon conditions. Of these, 111 districts have irrigation coverage below 25% and fall under the high-priority category. Another 76 districts with irrigation coverage between 25% and 50% are categorised as medium priority, while 128 districts are classified as low priority owing to relatively better irrigation facilities through dams and other sources. Most of the affected districts are located in Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Karnataka, Bihar, Jharkhand, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Odisha.
“Changing crop strategy in rain-fed areas has become the need of the hour,” Chouhan said. The union government has advised states to promote short-duration crop varieties and those capable of delivering higher yields with lower water requirements and also to switch immediately to alternative crop options if there is a prolonged gap between the normal sowing period and the onset of rainfall.
The minister also discussed the potential fodder shortage and water conservation. To deal with possible fodder shortage, the centre is creating supply plans including transporting fodder from surplus regions to deficit areas. For water conservation, harvesting projects under Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) and Viksit Bharat-Guarantee for Rozgar and Ajeevika Mission (Gramin) (VB-GRAMG) should receive priority.
For continuous monitoring of the emerging situation, the central government has set up an ‘El Niño Monitoring Cell’ and a ‘Crop Weather Watch Group.’ It has advised states to establish control rooms, and the Chouhan said that secretary-level reviews are being conducted every week.
For Kharif 2026, a food grain production target of around 176 million tonnes has been set, the minister informed. “There is no need to panic. What is required is preparedness and collective action,” he added.
Banner image: A farmer inspects his destroyed crop of sugarcane following drought in Marathwada region, Maharashtra, in 2016. Representative image. (AP Photo/Manish Swarup, File)